Democrats in Congress could suffer from the sinking of Biden’s ship. Pollster says GOP could add 41 seats
Despite the national media’s best efforts to cover up the nation’s problems, voters are getting wind of President Joe Biden’s track record – and the results, so far, are not pretty.
According to the poll consulted over the past two weeks, Biden’s approval rating hovers between 42% and 49%. As his media allies note, this is the first time Biden has been underwater with the public since taking office.
And it could prove costly for Democrats in Congress.
Washington Examiner columnist Paul Bedard on Monday cited the work of a campaign strategist who said Democrats could lose 41 seats in the 2022 midterm election.
And that’s before the Republican legislatures start carving up their states for redistribution.
Glen Bolger, a pollster with Public Opinion Strategies, told Bedard that the outlook for the GOP is improving among all demographic groups of voters except young Americans – and that they do not vote with the same intensity as the others.
Bolger’s research examined how a president’s popularity influenced the mid-terms between 1962 and 2018, while excluding 1974, the year President Richard Nixon resigned because of the Watergate scandal.
On average, if the president exceeded 60% approval, his party would add a seat in Congress. While the approval rate was between 49% and 59%, the president’s party still lost 12 seats in Congress.
If the president was below 49%, his party lost an average of 39 seats.
Bolger’s company currently had a 48% approval for Biden.
Joe Biden’s overall disapproval rating and, harder for him, his strong disapproval ratings are exactly where [former President] Donald Trump was just before the November 2018 midterm elections when the ruling party lost the House and many governor seats, ”Bolger told The Examiner.
“I would hate to be in charge of recruiting candidates for Democrats because no sane Democrat and a competitive seat would want to run in this political environment.”
Democrats hold a majority in the US House by a 220-212 margin with three vacant seats. The Senate is tied at 50-50.
Bedard also noted that a Republican polling firm, McLaughlin & Associates, recently found that when voters were asked which party they intended to vote for next year, 47% said they were Republican, up from 46. % for Democrats.
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